Caio de
Souza Castro

I am a professor at the São Paulo School of Economics (FGV EESP) and a researcher at FGV CLEAR and FGV Cidades.

My research is in applied economics, with an emphasis on causal inference and impact evaluation of public policies. I work on projects spanning education, health, labor markets, international trade, and environmental economics, drawing primarily on Brazilian administrative data.

I hold a Ph.D. and M.Sc. in Economics from FGV EESP and a B.A. in Economics from the University of São Paulo (USP).

Caio de Souza Castro
Early Childhood Education, Neighborhood Quality, and the Fade-Out of Learning Gains: Evidence from São Paulo
Caio de Souza Castro
Working paperEducation
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Effects of Technical Education and Professional Qualification: Experimental Evidence from Novotec Integrado
Caio de Souza Castro & André Portela Souza
Working paperEducation · RCT
Cross-Sector Collaborations in Education: Balancing Immediate Access and Long-Term Goals for Vulnerable Children
Ciro Biderman, Caio de Souza Castro, Fernando Deodato Domingos & Alexandre Schneider
Working paperEducation
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Timing the Stork: C-section Manipulation around the School Enrollment Cutoff and Neonatal Health in Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro & Hugo Villarinho Carvalho
Working paperHealth · Education
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Mass Layoffs, Mandatory Advance Notice, and Neonatal Health: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro & Hugo Villarinho Carvalho
Working paperHealth · Labor
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Prescription Rules and Child Health Inequality
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperHealth
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Free Drugs and Avoidable Harm: Copayment Elimination, Cardiovascular Hospitalisations, and Mortality in Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperHealth
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Does Emergency Contraception Access Reduce Adolescent Fertility? Evidence from Two Policy Reforms in Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperHealth
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Income Shocks and Mental Health: Evidence from Oil Royalties in Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro, Marcos Nakaguma & Daniel da Mata
Working paperHealth
Teleinterconsultation as a Strategy to Reduce Geographic Inequity of Specialist Access: Evidence from an Impact Evaluation in Brazil
Leon Labre, Caio de Souza Castro, Lucas Reis Correia, Lycia Lima, Carlos Pedrotti, Alei Santos, André Portela Souza & Michel Szklo
Working paperHealth
Darkness and Its Consequences: Causal Effects of a Large-Scale Electricity Blackout on Hospital Admissions
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperHealth
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Domestic Workers, Maternity Rights, and Infant Health: Evidence from Brazil's 2015 Labor Reform
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperHealth · Labor
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River Primary Care and Health Outcomes in the Brazilian Amazon
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperHealth
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Long-Run Labor Market Scarring from a Technological Disaster: Evidence from the Fundão Dam Collapse in Brazil
André Portela Souza, Amanda Arabage, Bernardo Ostrovski & Caio de Souza Castro
Working paperEnvironment · Labor
Radioactive Legacies: Health Impacts of Uranium Mining on Nearby Communities in Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperEnvironment · Health
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Population Without Prosperity: Quasi-Experimental Evidence on the Local Economic Impacts of Uranium Mining in Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperEnvironment
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Environmental Disasters and Agricultural Livelihoods: Evidence from the 2003 Cataguases Paper Mill Spill
Hugo Villarinho Carvalho, Caio de Souza Castro & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperEnvironment
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The Agricultural Footprint of the US–China Trade War: Evidence from Brazilian Microregions
Caio de Souza Castro, Alexandre Rabelo, Pedro Molina Ogeda & Lucas Mariano
Working paperTrade
The Impacts of Mercosur on the Brazilian Labor Market
Alexandre Rabelo, Caio de Souza Castro & Pedro Molina Ogeda
Working paperTrade · Labor
Does Street Lighting Deter Crime? High-Resolution Evidence from São Paulo's LED Modernization PPP
Hugo Carvalho, Caio de Souza Castro & Marcos Correia
Working paperCrime
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Good News and Bad News: The Effects of Consuming Professional News Outlets During the 2022 Brazilian Elections
Caio de Souza Castro & João F. Pugliese
Working paperPolitical economy
New Stadiums, More Fans? Evidence from Brazilian Professional Football
Alexandre Rabelo, Caio de Souza Castro & Pedro Molina Ogeda
Working paperSports economics
Crowds and Crime: Evidence from a Large Urban Cultural Event
Caio de Souza Castro, Hugo Villarinho Carvalho & Marcos Paulo Correia
Working paperCrime · Urban
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Legalized Civilian Firearms and Gun Suicide in Brazil: Evidence from an Expansion-Reversal Policy Cycle
Caio de Souza Castro & Hugo Villarinho Carvalho
Working paperHealth
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Screening, Treatment, and Survival: Prenatal Syphilis Detection and Neonatal Mortality in Brazil, 2007–2023
Caio de Souza Castro & Hugo Villarinho Carvalho
Working paperHealth
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Health Regulation and Dialysis Outcomes: Evidence from Brazil's RDC 11/2014
Caio de Souza Castro & Hugo Villarinho Carvalho
Working paperHealth
Vaccination Capacity, Supply-Side Standards, and Pandemic Resilience: Evidence from Brazil
Caio de Souza Castro & Hugo Villarinho Carvalho
Working paperHealth
NICU Designation and Neonatal Mortality in Brazil: Evidence from Hospital Designations, 2007–2023
Caio de Souza Castro & Hugo Villarinho Carvalho
Working paperHealth
Linear Algebra
2020 – present
Mathematics
2020 – 2022
Mathematics II
2022 – present
Introduction to Economics
2022 – present
Econometrics I
2023 – present
Econometrics III
2023 – present
Projects I
2020 – 2021
Programming and Problem Solving
2021
MBA in ESG for Public Servants
FGV Cidades
current
MBA in PPPs and Sustainable Concessions
FGV Cidades
current

Full CV

Academic background, research experience, teaching, and technical skills. Last updated March 2026.

↓ CV (English) ↓ CV (Português)
Education

Ph.D. Economics
FGV EESP, 2020–2024

M.Sc. Economics
FGV EESP, 2018–2020

B.A. Economics
USP, 2013–2016

Affiliations

FGV EESP
FGV CLEAR
FGV Cidades

Methods & Software

Causal inference
RCT design
R · Stata · LaTeX

Institution

São Paulo School of Economics — FGV EESP
Rua Doutor Plínio Barreto, 365 · Bela Vista, São Paulo

Profiles
Lattes ↗